Investigative Reports: 2025

2025

  • The Demographic Trap Renewed: Identity Politics and the Failure of

    Fakherddin Salih, a Kurd who returned to Kirkuk after 2003, is one of hundreds of Kurdish families threatened with eviction from their homes. For nearly a year, Salih and others guarded their homes, fearing forced displacement by the Iraqi army, pressured by "influential Arabs" seeking to reclaim residential and agricultural lands that the Ba'ath regime had granted them after seizing them from their original Kurdish and Turkmen owners. This is a deep-rooted and recurrent conflict over property, fueled by partisan interests and constantly shifting administrative and security power dynamics in the oil-rich province, which is home to a mix of…

    Investigative Reports

    Kirkuk
  • The Code is More Dangerous Than a Bullet: Cyber and

    The digital transformation in the Middle East accelerated over the past two decades through artificial intelligence, cloud computing, advanced communications, drones, and commercial satellites. This transformation reshaped the regional security landscape on two interconnected levels: intelligence (expansion of collection and analysis sources, and the emergence of the private sector as a key information provider), and strategy (the expansion of the scope of power into cyberspace and drones, and changes in deterrence equations and costs). Events in the region, from Stuxnet and Shamoon to the threats of drones to navigation in the Red Sea, demonstrate how technology has simultaneously become both…

    Analysis

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  • Captagon Drug Networks Adapt and Survive in Middle East After

    Syria’s transitional government is cracking down on the production of Captagon — an illicit synthetic stimulant that flourished under the sponsorship of the Bashar al-Assad regime until its fall in December. But production and trade of the drug are continuing, particularly in parts of Syria not yet under the control of the new administration.

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